2017 AFC Playoffs Odds and Betting Preview of the early Sunday game where the Buffalo Bills visit the Jacksonville Jaguars.
2017 AFC Playoffs Odds – The Case For the Jacksonville Jaguars
For one of this year’s “rags to riches” stories, we refer you to the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were laughed at a year ago but are now the AFC South champions. And they did not do it by accident; the Jaguars put together a very careful plan in which the ground game and tough defense was emphasized, and their players have delivered. Head coach Doug Marrone has justified the faith placed in him by Tom Coughlin, the former Jaguars coach who is now the top football executive in the operation. So this team comes into its first playoff game since 2004 with some confidence. They will face off against the Buffalo Bills in a game that kicks off at 1 PM ET on Sunday at Everbank Field in Jacksonville. Remember that if you are a VietBet customer, you can place wagers in real time as you take advantage of what they have available with Live Betting Ultra.
2017 AFC Playoffs Odds – Bills vs Jaguars:
In the 2017 AFC Playoffs Odds posted on this game by the people at VietBet, they are laying quite a few points to the Bills:
Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5
Buffalo Bills +8.5
Over 39 points -110
Under 39 points -110
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Jacksonville finished the season with a record of 10-6 straight-up and 9-7 against the football pointspread. What they did on the defensive end was absolutely sensational. The Jaguars allowed the fewest yards and points per drive among all NFL teams, and they were second in sacks with 55. They also forced 34 takeaways on the part of the opposition, which translated to a +10 turnover margin. Allowing 16.8 points per game, they were seemingly always in a position for victory. And with defense like that, you are going to be able to create margins; eight of their 10 victories came by double-digits, and in all eight of those wins they held the opponent the 10 points or less.
Buffalo’s top running back, LeSean McCoy, who gained 1138 yards on the season, has an ankle injury and while the Bills’ head coach, Sean McDermott, says that he has a chance to play, there is very little likelihood that will be close to 100%. That would leave Buffalo short in the backfield, which gives Jacksonville an added advantage. If you take a look at the statistics, Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo’s quarterback, was sacked 46 times, and he’ll be facing one of the fiercest pass rushes anywhere. One of the other things the Jaguars did very well was defending inside the 20, where they allowed fewer points per red zone trip than any other team in the league. The superlatives just keep on coming. And this was not a one-dimensional squad either; the Jags led the league in rushing with 141.1 yards per game and were fifth in scoring, averaging 26.1 ppg.
It would seem that the big wild card (pardon the pun) would be quarterback Blake Bortles, who came into this season with a reputation for making errors. Because he had a better running game than he’s had in the past, he could afford to play a little more “safety first,” and after the first 14 games he was intercepted only eight times. But he did throw five interceptions over the last two games, both of which Jacksonville lost. For this team to emerge victorious, Bortles has to avoid the ill-advised plays. And for that to happen, a ground game has to be established. We think they can do that with Leonard Fournette, the stud rookie out of LSU who battled injuries but still rushed for 1040 yards. Buffalo was not necessarily rock-solid against the run, allowing 4.3 yards per carry. And because the Bills are a little thin on offense, beating this number would appear to be achievable.
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2017 AFC Playoffs Odds – The Case for the Buffalo Bills
Admittedly, a number of things had to fall into place for the Buffalo Bills to make it to the playoffs. The most important thing was for the Cincinnati Bengals to be able to beat the Baltimore Ravens, and almost miraculously, that happened when Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton completed a 49-yard touchdown pass to Tyler Boyd in the waning moments. Buffalo fans, so overjoyed about this team making it to the playoffs for the first time since 1999, showered Dalton’s charity foundation with $17 donations, which constitutes one dollar for every season this team had missed the “tournament.” Bills management also sent buffalo wings to the Bengals. So now that they have gotten into the post-season, it is time for the Bills to perform, and they start on Sunday at 1 PM ET with a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, champions of the AFC South. It takes place at Everbank Field in Jacksonville, and while CBS televises it, VietBet customers can place wagers in real time using the advanced software from Live Betting Ultra.
One of the handicaps that the Bills will have to overcome is the potential absence of running back LeSean McCoy, who injured his ankle in the season finale against the Miami Dolphins. Head coach Sean McDermott, in his first year at the helm, says that the x-rays on McCoy’s ankle were negative, and asserts that he has “a chance” to play. The reality is that McCoy would probably be limited if he was even available, and that will leave this team with Mike Tolbert and Marcus Murphy to handle the rushing chores. What might actually do, however, is force Tyrod Taylor to run the ball little more. He was this team second-leading rusher this season, with 427 yards. Taylor has been much maligned, to the extent that McDermott actually benched him in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman for a game against Los Angeles Chargers. When Peterman threw five interceptions in the first half, Taylor was back into the game. In 420 attempts, he’s thrown only four interceptions, so you have to give him credit for minimizing mistakes.
Buffalo (9-7 straight-up, 9-6-1 ATS) has been able to do a good job keeping its turnovers down, and that is the way they’re going to have to play this game. You have to give this club points for character, as they shook off a three-game losing streak in the middle of the season, in which they gave up 135 points, to win four of their last six games. They allowed more than 23 points only once in that stretch. One of the things you hear from players is that this team has an unusual level of chemistry, and that was pretty good news in the wake of the storm that Rex Ryan left this team in. One disappointment is that Buffalo had only 27 sacks this season, less than half Jacksonville’s total. Under Ryan, and even before that, the Buffalo defense was known as a unit that can get a lot of pressure on the quarterback.
There is some opportunism on the part of the Bills’ secondary, which has 18 interceptions, and they have an opportunity to take advantage of Blake Bortles, if the Jacksonville quarterback continues his trend over the last couple of games, in which he has thrown five interceptions. Taylor might not have a lot of weapons at his disposal, but with tight end Charles Clay, and his backup, Nick O’Leary, he has an opportunity to put some pressure on the Jacksonville linebackers. That also allows him to get rid of the ball quicker, which, for his sake, could cut down on the times he gets hit in the pocket. Jacksonville does not have a lot of playoff experience amongst its ranks, so perhaps covering this big number is more of a challenge than they are capable of taking on.
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By Charles Jay
